If you were to build the perfect “Fight of the Night” in a laboratory, it would probably look a lot like Dan Hooker vs. Benoît Saint Denis. This Saturday at UFC 325 in Sydney, we have a collision between two of the most durable, high-paced lightweights on the planet. The oddsmakers have pegged the Frenchman, … Read more
The Octagon returns to Sydney this weekend for UFC 325, and the stakes couldn’t be higher for Australia’s own Alexander “The Great” Volkanovski. After a chaotic 2025 that saw him reclaim his throne, he faces the man who pushed him to the absolute brink in their first encounter: Diego Lopes. If you’re looking at the … Read more
The analysis is done. The weigh-ins are over. It’s time to lock in the tickets. We have spent the last three weeks breaking down UFC 324 from every mathematical angle. We looked at the Chin Durability Stats, we calculated the Violence Index, and we even built a Hedge Strategy to protect your bankroll from a Paddy … Read more
🚨 UPDATE (Jan 16): Kayla Harrison is injured. The dust has settled on the card changes. With Kayla Harrison officially out and the final bout order confirmed, we are stripping our betting strategy down to the absolute essentials. We looked at the prelims, but forcing bets on fights with massive favorites (like Umar Nurmagomedov) destroys … Read more
If you are betting on Justin Gaethje to beat Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324, you have a decision to make. Do you take the safe route with the Moneyline (+175)? Or do you get greedy and chase the KO/TKO Prop (+225)? Most bettors see “The Highlight” and instinctively click the KO button. It makes sense. … Read more
If you read our Early Odds Analysis, you know where we stand on the Main Event. We love the value on Justin Gaethje at +175. When a guy with nuclear power in his hands is a nearly 2-to-1 underdog against a fighter with questionable striking defense, you have to take the shot. But let’s be … Read more
We are about to witness the ultimate “Immovable Object vs. Unstoppable Force” rematch. When Diego Lopes steps into the octagon against Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 325, nobody is talking about the striking. We are all asking the same question: Can the Brazilian wonder-kid actually submit the Great Alexander in the rematch? On paper, it sounds … Read more
I love “Thug Rose.” You love “Thug Rose.” The entire MMA community loves “Thug Rose.” But betting with your heart is the fastest way to empty your bank account. At UFC 324, the former strawweight queen Rose Namajunas returns to the cage against late-replacement Natalia Silva. Because Rose is a legend, you might look at … Read more
I don’t care who you think wins the fight. I don’t care if you think the British hype train finally derails, or if the American legend passes the torch. If you are betting on Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett to go to a decision, you are ignoring the laws of physics. At Main Card Money, … Read more
Let’s be honest: You’re probably going to put Sean O’Malley in your parlay. Everyone does. He’s the “Suga Show.” He’s one of the biggest stars on the card alongside Paddy Pimblett. And against Song Yadong, the bookies have him as a solid favorite (around -215). But betting -215 favorites is a great way to drain … Read more