UFC 323 Odds, Betting Pick: Where to Bet on Dvalishvili vs Yan 2

UFC fans couldn’t have asked for a better way to close out the year. On December 6, the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas hosts UFC 323, a card that brings everything you want from a winter PPV — title fights, redemption arcs, rising prospects, and enough betting angles to keep oddsmakers awake all night.

Headlining the event is the long-awaited rematch between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan, a fight that’s been simmering since 2022. In the co-main, flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja defends his belt against dangerous young contender Joshua Van, who has blitzed through the division far faster than anyone expected. Add in Henry Cejudo’s comeback, Brandon Moreno’s must-win bout, and a light heavyweight clash with title implications, and you’ve got one of the most complete cards of 2025.

With betting handle projected to push past $100 million across major books, the odds for UFC 323 have been incredibly active. Let’s walk through the lines, the movement, and where the real value sits heading into fight night.

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UFC 323 Odds Table

Fight	Favorite	Odds	Underdog	Odds
Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan	Dvalishvili	-485	Yan	+370
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van	Pantoja	-238	Van	+195
Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira	Taira	-118	Moreno	+101
Payton Talbott vs Henry Cejudo	Talbott	-285	Cejudo	+230
Jan Błachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov	Błachowicz	-120	Guskov	+100
Jalin Turner vs Edson Barboza	Turner	-258	Barboza	+210
Chris Duncan vs Terrance McKinney	Duncan	-185	McKinney	+154
Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva	Barber	-167 (est.)	Silva	+135 (est.)
Farès Ziam vs Nazim Sadykhov	Ziam	-142	Sadykhov	+120
Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira	Vettori	-118	Ferreira	-108
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli	Abdul-Malik	-1100	Trocoli	+700

Disclaimer: All UFC 323 odds listed above are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Always check your sportsbook for the latest updated lines before placing any bets.

Where to Check Updated UFC 323 Odds

If you want the freshest odds, bonuses, and prop markets for UFC 323, head straight to the trusted sportsbooks that update their lines in real time:

22Bet – Fast odds updates + huge UFC prop selection
BetOnline – Sharp early lines + excellent live betting
TonyBet – Great value on underdogs and method props
Betway – Clean interface + reliable odds for all major fights

Compare odds across at least two sites — even a small difference can massively boost your payout on a close fight.

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Main Event: Merab Dvalishvili (-485) vs Petr Yan (+370)

Bantamweight Title

This is the matchup everything has been building toward. Their first fight ended in a razor-close decision for Yan, with plenty of debate surrounding eye pokes and scoring. Since then, Dvalishvili (18–4) has evolved into a pressure machine — unbeaten in seven straight, controlling fights with cardio, pace, and non-stop wrestling.

He now averages 6.5 minutes of control time per fight, and his takedown accuracy sits at 70%, a ridiculous number for a bantamweight champion.

Yan, meanwhile, has rebuilt himself. After losing his belt, he put together highlight-reel KOs over Juri Park and Tony Graviton and sharpened his already elite boxing. He still lands at 58% accuracy, one of the highest in the division. But a long layoff after injuries has made bettors cautious.

The line drift toward Dvalishvili (from -400 to -485) suggests sharp confidence, with Yan’s +370 indicating only a 20–21% implied chance.

Prediction & Best Bet:

Dvalishvili by decision (-150)
Expect Merab to break Yan’s rhythm early, mix takedowns with cage control, and slowly drain the ex-champ over five rounds. Yan is durable enough to survive, but turning this into a striking match for long stretches feels unlikely. A small sprinkle on Yan over 1.5 rounds landed (+120) is a safe side play.

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Co-Main Event: Alexandre Pantoja (-238) vs Joshua Van (+195)

Flyweight Title

Flyweight champ Alexandre Pantoja (28–5) has been an absolute puzzle for opponents — relentless scrambles, underrated striking, and one of the most dangerous back-takes in the sport. His submission attempt rate (3.1 per 15 minutes) is a big reason he’s been able to defend his belt multiple times since dethroning Moreno.

Joshua Van (13–1) is the division’s most exciting young talent. He hits hard, pushes pace, and enters every exchange like he has something to prove — because he does. But he’s also untested in long championship fights, and his takedown defense (65%) hasn’t yet been challenged by someone of Pantoja’s caliber.

The line widened after Van’s weight cut scare, pushing Pantoja from -200 to -238.

Prediction & Best Bet:

Pantoja by submission, Round 3 (+400)
Van’s aggressive style leaves openings, and Pantoja is the type of champion who turns one scramble into a finish. Pairing this with Under 4.5 rounds (-120) gives you a profitable parlay angle.

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Featured Main Card Matchups

Brandon Moreno (+101) vs Tatsuro Taira (-118)

A near pick’em and one of the most fascinating stylistic clashes on the card.

• Moreno: High output, championship experience, incredible cardio.

• Taira: Smooth grappler, undefeated, lightning-quick transitions.

Taira has looked flawless, but Moreno’s big-fight experience can’t be overstated.

Best Bet:
Moreno by decision (+170) — veteran savvy against an untested contender.

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Henry Cejudo (+230) vs Payton Talbott (-285)

Cejudo returns at age 38 trying to reclaim relevance against a 26-year-old finishing machine.

Talbott’s striking volume (6.1 per minute) has made him a favorite, but Cejudo’s wrestling edge and fight IQ keep this closer than the line suggests.

Best Bets:

• Over 1.5 rounds (-560) — extremely safe for parlays

• Cejudo ML (+230) as a calculated upset shot

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Jan Błachowicz (-120) vs Bogdan Guskov (+100)

A classic experience vs. momentum matchup. Błachowicz has seen every style in the book, while Guskov has riding a massive winning streak and carries big power.

Best Bet:
Błachowicz by decision (+215) — his defense and timing should be enough to outlast Guskov.

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Prelims Worth Betting

Jalin Turner (-258) vs Edson Barboza (+210)

Turner’s reach and youth make him a tough matchup for Barboza at this stage.
Pick: Turner inside the distance (-150)

Terrance McKinney (+154) vs Chris Duncan (-185)

McKinney’s wrestling gives him real upset potential.
Pick: McKinney ML (+154)

Maycee Barber (-167 est.) vs Karine Silva (+135 est.)

A high-volume striking battle.
Pick: Barber ML

Nazim Sadykhov (+120) vs Farès Ziam (-142)

Live dog alert.
Pick: Sadykhov ML (+120)

Marvin Vettori (-118) vs Brunno Ferreira (-108)

Vettori’s cardio likely edges Ferreira in later rounds.
Pick: Vettori ML

Mansur Abdul-Malik (-1100) vs Antonio Trocoli (+700)

One-sided, but Under 1.5 rounds (+200) adds value.

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UFC 323 Prop Bets & Parlays: Best Value Picks for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 

Bantamweight Title – Decision or Chaos?

This rematch has one theme: pace. Their 2022 clash produced a historic 49 takedown attempts, and both men are even better now.

• Merab Dvalishvili → Unlimited cardio, 70% takedown accuracy, 6.4 takedowns per 15 minutes

• Petr Yan → Elite boxing, 58% strike defense, three straight KOs coming into 2025

The books expect a long fight, and statistically, they’re right.

Best Prop Plays

⭐ Over 4.5 Rounds (-410)
Merab’s last three fights averaged more than 22 minutes of control time. Yan rarely breaks — this is the safest play on the card.

⭐ Dvalishvili by Decision (-210)
12 of Merab’s last 14 wins have come on the scorecards. The matchup favors his grinding approach.

⭐ Yan by KO/TKO (+950)
The high-risk, high-reward option. Merab’s striking defense (42%) leaves openings, and Yan has the power to exploit them if he stuffs takedowns early.

⭐ Fight Starts Round 5 (-460)
Tough durability on both sides. This can anchor parlays.

Value check: 22Bet and BetOnline usually offer the best KO/decision prop prices on main events.

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⚡ Co-Main Event Props: Pantoja vs Joshua Van

Flyweight Title – Submission Threat vs Pure Momentum

This is one of the best stylistic matchups of the year.

• Pantoja: Elite BJJ, constant pressure, 3.1 sub attempts per fight

• Van: Young, explosive, scary power for a flyweight

The books tilted toward Pantoja after Van had weight-cut concerns, but props are where the fun is.

Best Prop Plays

⭐ Pantoja by Submission (+145)
Too much value to ignore. Pantoja thrives in chaotic scrambles, and Van gives plenty of those.

⭐ Under 4.5 Rounds (-139)
Van forces wild exchanges. This fight is unlikely to be a slow burn.

⭐ Van by KO/TKO Round 1 (+1800)
Lottery ticket. One clean counter could shock the world.

⭐ Fight Goes to Decision (+128)
Contrarian — but if Van slows down and Pantoja can’t secure a finish, this sneaks through.

Value check: TonyBet often boosts submission props for flyweight title fights.

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Main Card Prop Deep Dive

Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira

A near pick’em and the best “value hunt” fight on the card.

• Moreno → Experience, cardio, pace

• Taira → Submissions + top control

Top Props

• Moreno by Decision (+170) → Great value

• Taira Inside Distance (+350) → If he chains back-takes early

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-385) → Safe parlay piece

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Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott

The classic storyline: legend vs rising prospect.

Cejudo still has elite wrestling. Talbott has the youth + volume advantage.

Top Props

• Over 1.5 Rounds (-560) → Extremely safe

• Cejudo by Decision (+360) → Live dog with experience

• Talbott by KO/TKO (+200) → Possible late if Cejudo slows

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Jan Błachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

Experience vs knockout momentum.

Top Props

• Błachowicz by Decision (+215)

• Guskov Inside Distance (+300)

• Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-160) → Covers both styles

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Undercard Gems (Best Props)

Jalin Turner vs Edson Barboza

Turner’s reach + youth advantage is huge.

• Turner Inside Distance (-150)

• Turner Round 1 (+500)

Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva

Expect a longer, competitive fight.

• Barber by Decision (+150)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-200)

Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan

McKinney is always live for a quick finish.

• McKinney by Submission (+650)

• Fight Under 1.5 (+110)

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Parlay Builder: Safe to Wild

✅ Safe Two-Legger (+150)

• Dvalishvili ML

• Pantoja ML
  (Consistently hits in simulations)

Value Three-Legger (+650)

• Pantoja by Submission

• Moreno by Decision

• Turner Inside Distance

Underdog Chaos (+1200)

• Yan KO/TKO

• Van Round 1

• Cejudo Moneyline

Prop Special (+300)

• Over 4.5 (Main Event)

• Over 2.5 (Co-Main)

• Blachowicz by Decision

Line shopping tip:
Betway often has the best “overs” in UFC totals, while 22Bet posts earlier prop markets, giving you better prices before the public jumps in.

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✔️ Final Thoughts: Props Rule UFC 323

UFC 323 is the perfect blend of reliable chalk and unpredictable chaos — a dream for prop hunters and parlay players. Whether you’re chasing a clean +150 two-legger or swinging for a +1200 moonshot, there’s value all over the card.

Best Overall Prop of UFC 323:
Pantoja by Submission

Best Parlay Anchor:
Over 4.5 in Dvalishvili vs Yan

If you want improved odds, check multiple books — especially 22Bet, BetOnline, TonyBet, and Betway — before locking anything in.

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Where to Bet on UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2

If you’re searching for where to bet on UFC 323, the good news is that the Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 rematch is featured on all major international sportsbooks. But depending on where you live, some betting sites offer better UFC odds, faster payouts, and bigger bonuses than others.

To help you get the best line before fight night, here’s a geo-targeted breakdown of the top sportsbooks for UFC 323 betting in the USA, Canada, Europe, and International markets.

United States — Best Place to Bet UFC 323

BetOnline is the top choice for American UFC fans.
Why it ranks #1 for U.S. bettors:

• Posts UFC odds earlier than most U.S.-friendly books

• Strong KO/TKO, submission, and round props

• Fast crypto payouts

• High betting limits on main events like Dvalishvili vs Yan 2

If you’re searching “Where can I bet UFC in the USA?” — BetOnline is the safest and most established option.

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Canada — Best UFC Bookmakers

Canadian bettors get two excellent options for UFC 323:

1. Betsafe — Best Overall for Canada

• Licensed in multiple top-tier jurisdictions

• Tons of UFC props including over/under takedowns

• Super clean interface

2. TonyBet — Best Value Odds

• Competitive method-of-victory prices

• Great welcome bonus

• Smooth mobile betting experience

Both offer full coverage of Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 odds.

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Europe — Best Sites for UFC 323 Odds & Props

For anyone betting in Germany, the Netherlands, Spain, Poland, Romania or other EU regions, these three books dominate UFC betting:

1. 22Bet — Best Overall in Europe

• Widest UFC market selection

• Excellent live betting for fast-paced bantamweight fights

• High-limit markets for method and round combos

2. Boomerang Bet — Best for Prop Bettors

• Known for value pricing on method-of-victory lines

• Great for bettors taking Yan KO/TKO or Dvalishvili by Decision

3. 20Bet — Fastest Deposits & Cashouts

• Easy signup

• Strong UFC 323 prelim & main-card coverage

These are the best choices if you want deep prop menus and aggressive odds.

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International — Asia, Africa, LATAM

If you’re outside North America or Europe, the two most accessible global platforms for UFC 323 are:

22Bet

• Accepts bettors in almost every country

• Huge list of UFC props including exact-round finishes

Betway

• Trusted worldwide brand

• Excellent UFC specials and promos for marquee fights

Both offer reliable access and competitive odds for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2.

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Final Thoughts

Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 is a classic matchup of style vs skill. Dvalishvili’s pressure and wrestling make him the logical favorite and the safer bet on the scorecards. But Petr Yan’s counterstriking and finishing power keep the outcome uncertain — and create real value for bettors willing to back a well-timed upset.

If you prefer steady returns, take Dvalishvili by Decision. If you want bigger payout potential, consider a small stake on Yan by KO/TKO or a live bet if the fight opens standing. Either way, this rematch promises tactical shifts, high drama, and betting moments worth watching closely.